Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 26.403385 30.489990 34.913323 40.046022 45.826589 52.123845 59.491299
2025-01-05 20.414425 26.306978 33.295854 42.140644 52.974674 65.747931 81.876354
2025-01-12 15.573813 21.960650 30.118193 41.176617 55.632992 73.730536 97.917095
2025-01-19 11.996603 18.310793 26.911759 39.275599 56.344502 78.795509 110.216727
2025-01-26 10.759350 17.515947 27.209440 41.807596 62.839096 91.577632 133.238480
2025-02-02 10.117587 17.419754 28.374334 45.537549 71.166510 107.315309 161.258742
2025-02-09 8.868463 16.161364 27.604652 46.253102 75.098789 117.060895 181.456829
2025-02-16 7.683487 14.798529 26.457919 46.186443 77.736698 124.980385 199.392424
2025-02-23 6.625790 13.470944 25.170332 45.693646 79.570394 131.698842 215.826050
2025-03-02 5.777483 12.373506 24.108909 45.408421 81.622455 138.773437 233.095839
2025-03-09 5.053244 11.386962 23.103069 45.074303 83.497532 145.599384 250.270419
2025-03-16 4.139120 9.873738 20.950489 42.483132 81.312903 145.712141 256.734886
2025-03-23 3.788707 9.494829 20.933677 43.860639 86.288361 158.190526 284.498814
2025-03-30 3.552224 9.331959 21.333968 46.091346 93.025675 174.172950 319.212428
2025-04-06 3.021626 8.411114 20.093435 45.041722 93.723463 179.916937 337.160822
2025-04-13 2.488952 7.371844 18.449397 42.983842 92.318537 181.839616 348.621263
2025-04-20 2.401174 7.413553 19.134124 45.722531 100.246820 200.773646 390.616445
2025-04-27 2.406438 7.696321 20.385306 49.754346 110.973003 225.342778 443.760264
2025-05-04 2.188420 7.340173 20.127851 50.527432 115.279938 238.375012 476.936713
2025-05-11 1.945263 6.863028 19.518104 50.455415 117.850170 248.290612 504.936649
2025-05-18 1.708075 6.350002 18.745581 49.922993 119.399650 256.318393 529.812580
2025-05-25 1.511580 5.915122 18.104459 49.614807 121.373971 265.239058 556.750100
2025-06-01 1.336705 5.507348 17.472911 49.253771 123.187125 273.915509 583.611600